Financial Markets Update 5 November 2025
Markets start fraying
News Overnight
Economics totally in the background with only the RBA hold of any interest.
RBA holds official interest rate at 3.6% while warning of rising house prices and rents [The Guardian]
Statement by the Monetary Policy Board: Monetary Policy Decision [RBA]
The fragility of markets is showing up with Bitcoin leading equities down. Continuing perceived distress in the banking system, headline news on Oracle’s credit default swaps price along with private credit and private equity warnings leave markets fearful.
US Equities fell but it wasn’t a rout. Yet.
Breaking
S&P 500 falls after Wall Street CEOs warn on valuations [investing.com]
Katayama Warns on Currency After Yen Hits Fresh 8-Month Low [Bloomberg]
China’s Central Bank Returns to Bond Market With Small Purchases [Bloomberg]
UBS chair warns of ‘looming systemic risk’ from private credit ratings [FT]
Oracle’s credit default swaps rise as AI investments grow [investing.com]
Fed’s Daly says she backed latest rate cut, open to another one in December [Reuters]
US government heads to longest shutdown as Trump resists calls to talk [FT]
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DXY Update 5 November 2025
DXY continues to grind higher, now adding to the poor market sentiment. It’s at that first pivot point at 99.85 with more resistance at 101.50. If price confirms above 101.50, then we will be buying for a long-term trend taking DXY near 120.00.
S&P 500 Update 5 November 2025
Sentiment has soured dramatically in the last few days as banks continue to use the FED’s Repo Facility, credit markets are breaking and the AI trade may have topped. That’s said, the fall wasn’t that big and we’d want price to confirm before reconsidering the trend higher.
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Bitcoin Update 5 November 2025
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